The initiative is all on the Cats side and you can't spread enough defense every where.
I gotta disagree.
Initiative means little if the Cats can no longer trust their own intel or what the Bears tell them during the batchall.
Also, the Bears substantially outnumber the Cats, and the Cats are in a generally poor position number- and quality-wise. The Bears can afford to set traps more than the Cats can afford to lose raiding parties.
I'm not saying that the Cats won't have a successful raid now and then. But the Cats would lose against a Bear campaign of attrition if the Cats kept it up.
That will work all of twice. The Cats aren't idiots.
Great.
If the Cats chose not to play that game, their other choices would be to:
1) Stop raiding the Bears, which is a win for the Bears; or
2) Risk more assets by attacking en masse, giving the Bears a pretext with the civilian side of their government for more aggressive actions, which is also a win for the Bears.
The Bears usually react (slowly). They don't usually calculate like this. But there's no reason the right Khan couldn't employ such a strategy of escalation instead of just sending the Bear touman raging across the border.
This is a long term problem going back to the 60s and all 3 sides have history exploiting it.
Sure. I'm just saying that there are smarter ways for the Bears to have played it.
Not necessarily better for the story arc or consistent with how the Bears are characterized. Just smarter.