To be fair, the announcement of the two new shows is the first expansion of new new Trek since DISCO series 2, and the last batch of Short Treks definitely felt like they were testing the waters in terms of production and audience reaction.
After this week's Picard, I'm making a prediction: In episode 10, Picard will return to the chateau to discover Laris, Zhaban and Number One surrounded by a massive pile of dead Romulan death squads because they kept on coming but never got any more successful than the first one. And overall that episode was damned good. People who saw the first three eps said they formed a pilot/first arc for the show and it really felt that way. Raffi and Rios are both promising characters, those last two shots might have got me in the feels, and they were clearly meant to. But like, yeah, well played, Star Trek.
Also, Vasquez Rocks finally got to play itself in Star Trek!