In fairness - right now peace works for the AFFS too. A LOT of their best units are now hovering at just barely combat effective. While none of them have been destroyed and they are in a lot better situation than the DCMS the war is starting to take it's toll.
For instance:
1st Kestrel Grenadiers - 40%
1st Argyle Lancers - 60%
4th Ceti Hussars - 40%
1st Crucis Lancers - 50%
3rd Crucis Lancers - 50%
2nd Dragonlords - 40%
3rd FSAC - 50%
4th FSAC - 60%
1st FedSuns Dragoons - 40%
1st Lexington Combat Guards - 30%
4th Syrtis Fusiliers - 40%
etc...
True, but the DCMS is in a far worse state and Victor has vastly more untapped reserves. A lot of this comes down to Victors operations being too aggressive, looking to take as many planets as possible rather than a more balanced approach of less planets but more raiding. Heart attack honestly was a major strategic risk and only worked BECAUSE the DCMS was shattered. Paid off for him though as it quite literally DID give Theodore a heart attack, but it could have left him in a very bad position if Theodore opened up the Genocide vault or risked bringing fresh troops in to leapfrog his line and smash deeper planets garrisons.
But he didn't and it proved the DCMS has pretty much collapsed unless they want the Ghost Bears to take everything else. Which is the problem. SOME of the AFFS units might be damaged, there are a ****** more that are not.
To quote the Capt; 'I can do this all day...' is the realisation the Coordinator faces here. Especially as the damaged units can probably bounce 10-20% of their strength as soon as replacement Mechs and equipment arrives and transfers from units off the line (which in turn can be made up from deeper down the chain of other line units, milita units and finally cadets in turn) will take care of the rest pretty quickly.
Now all of these commands remain viable. But one more big battle and we're talking having to roll units together to keep them combat effective. As it stands with the intent of maintaining experience levels by slow build up's some of these units will be almost 5-6 years before they are back to full strength. If the war goes on for even another 2-3 months then the AFFS is going to see some of it's best units be reduced to cadre or worse.
*snort* only if the DCMS has any units that can actually attack, any logistics to support any level of attack or even the will to keep on fighting. Victor may not want to take more planets, but the problem is that the DCMS has been effectively broken in being able to sustain any kind of defense above rifle milita level on almost any planet Victor might want to strike. Unless they leave the Ghost Bears border so wide open that even the conservative bears shrug and say 'well, why not?' and start the clusters jumping across.
But beyond that, those units shouldn't be on the line anymore. They should have been pulled back and new units pushed up by now. Then they can fall back and consolidate / rebuild. Victor has multiple wars going on NOW, not 5 years from now. Consolidate units from the same corps - and pull personnel from other units in the same brigade here and there, backfilling with cadets and transfers. The AFFS has enough depth and units now that while you'll probably have a few RCTs reduced entirely to cadres to be rebuilt as green units, thats just life. You need the units now and Victor SHOULD have entire cities of staff officers already prepositioning the personnel, equipment and cutting the orders to make it happen.
Perhaps they drop from Elite to Veteran for a while? That's more than good enough to get back into the fight. That's where the AFFS has the unbeatable advantage; the sheer logistics engine they have operating now, including vastly more cadets graduating and having the war material to send them on their way, plus a whole raft of expanded units you can easily pull off a lance here, a squadron there they can fill in for, while sending the experience troops to rebuild the shock troop formations while the cadets get settled in with units off the line...
You've created an absolute monster of a military industrial complex here ... kudos :)
The DCMS however has just lost a very large chunk of its.
And while most of their warships haven't taken a lot of damage - extended operations in a combat zone does tend to add up to a need for more maintenance, crews worn out, etc...
Truth - although by the same token the threat from Kuritan warships have been pretty much dropped to next to nothing by this point so he SHOULD have been recalling large chunks of his fleet anyway for crew refresh, resupply and repairs as needed, leaving enough units on hand 'just in case'.
But make a note that the AFFS REALLY needs to get around (especially as they now have the Iron Duke and New Sytris II hulls in service which might make a good starting point) to building a major fleet tender design. A hybrid yardship and support ship that can provide major support services in the field...
The losses amongst the fighter pilots also need to be made up. Doctrines need to be reevaluated - the FedSun's Navy is now THE premier carrier force. but they also know they've made mistakes due to sheer inertia and lack of experience in massive warship deployments. Time to reflect and improve on doctrines is needed.
Yeah ... they're in the middle of a war, they don't have
time to pull back and play it safe. And really, thats Buchwalds job.
We've seen plenty of times in war throughout history, especially at times of great innovation like WW2, that when something works or doesn't work, doctrine can get thrown out the airlock in favor of new thinking that in peacetime would take years ... but as you don't have years, you learn the lesson and change tactics. And if there are leaders who can't hack the pace of change or are too set in their ways, they get relieved rapidly.
But yes, they probably do need to replenish their air wings, but again, that should be a constantly ongoing process anyway.
Dropships though are much harder to come by (which again is why whoever was in command of Nightfire needs to be fired!)
Plus time to actually build up a network of new DMM units, probably some more Avalon Hussars based in the new conquests and some Borderer regiments will only strengthen the AFFS's hold.
Honestly at this point far better to stick with Borderer LCTs across the new area as a defensive garrison mindset, with some key 'floating' RCTs backing them up. You can both get them up faster and work with the locals, especially on the liberated FedSuns worlds that are delighted to be back to stand them up quickly. There replacement pipeline for the next few years shouldn't be looking at forming any 'new' RCTs, just replenishing feeder units at the bottom of the pyramid as troops are fed up it into the damaged elites at the top.
The economy in the FedSuns hasn't really been hit by the war. But it hasn't exactly been growing at it's normal rate. Time to stop, let the economy grow again - and absorb the conquests and turn them into productive worlds? That makes the FedSun's even stronger if the Kurita's get any ideas about reversing the war.
That's out of scope though, we're talking about the NOW. And here is where Victors absurd popularity and the fact that they are crushing the hated enemy of the Federated Suns more brutally than ever before comes in. Victor can probably take the economy far FAR worse than it is with the right propaganda campaign if there is a clear and ongoing beneift for the Federated Suns, at least in the short and medium term - and he's nowhere near that yet. People LOVE a war that you're winning against a loathed enemy. And even if the economy is growing slower, its still growing - and everyone is STILL absurdly better off to where they were in say 3060 when Victor took over again. Given the sheer loathing of the Combine in the Suns, there are probably going to be more people pissed that Victor accepted the war ending HERE rather than pushing onto total Victory when the Dragon is clearly on the ropes!!! Especially in the Draconis March. And ESPECIALLY if Victor turns his attention to pulling the Lyrans out of the fire and going back, AGAIN, to focus on the Clans :D
(Some constructive counter-atrocities retaliating for Victors murdering of the Combine jump fleet and recharge stations against civilian targets may well have changed this tune mind you!)
In all honesty it'll take a generation for most of the Kuritian conquests to turn into being a net positive for the Federated Suns. And thats presuming the ISF, Yuzuka, Black Dragons, Kuritan loyalists and so on don't take their time to make life miserable.
The Combine is heading for a civil war. Right now it's just a coin toss to see whether is a Kurita-Kurita two way or a Kurita-Kurita-Black Dragon three way.
Victor (at least in MY timeline) isn't an idiot. He hasn't drank the magic coolaid. He KNOWS that the Kurita's fundamental viewpoint is "we are destined to rule the stars" and that they tend to never forget a slight. He's pistol whipped them twice now and seized some serious worlds from their realm. He knows they aren't going to forgive and forget and frankly Minoru would be a fool to try and pretend. So the odds of Victor giving back an inch of hard won ground? Minoru can forget it. A major concession might just be letting the commands holding out on say Iruzun fall back unopposed. Minoru will probably argue that any world that is still "fighting" should stay with the Combine, but if Victor says "well let's continue and let it play out..." The DCMS forces on almost all of them are on their last legs. The only world the Kurita's have a favourable balance of forces on right now is Iruzun and that's only until the 3 new Avalon Hussars RCT's arrive. Who are already in system and by the time Minoru can talk with Victor will be on planet.
Victor shouldn't be cocky - he has to HOLD the worlds against what is probably going to, on a lot of them the further from the border he gets, especially on worlds that have always been Kuritan and will be hotbeds for generations of insurgency helped by the ISF. I'd be interested to see a map; his best bet for conquests this war would have of course been all the old Fedsuns worlds or worlds that have a long period of being part of the Suns, but also any remaining old TH worlds around Dieron...
But its not about taking the planets, its about HOLDING them. And heart attack frankly may have been a step too far here.
Kitsune Kurita is a MAJOR issue. He's a headache for Minoru AND Victor. if he stays in the Combine - a potential threat to Minoru but a potential weapon against the Davions. If he is handed over to the Davions, he remains a threat to both houses. There isn't a win here for anyone. Even if he is raised by Victor and loves his father and step mother and siblings... Who's to say his children will feel the same about their cousins? Or who's to say that Burton Davion wont try and set his half brother up as Coordinator in 30 years time?
This isn't Game of Thrones though - he won't be Kitsune Avalon or something, the UNTRUSTWORTHY BASTARD WHO MUST BE GLARED AT WITH GREAT SUSPICION! All other things being equal, if the kids are part of the Federated Suns and raised correctly as family, then they won't be a problem. Especially given the sheer cultural differences in the Federated Suns. And if Burton Davion wants to setup his half brother as Cooridnator in 30 years time? So much the better :)
Seriously though, historically attempts to play this kind of game don't really work in the Suns. Even Micahel Hasek-Davion only had one hope that everyone knew for any chance at the throne; and that was if Hanse died without issue. And that was as an Archduke who had all but run the Federated Suns for Ian and had the backing of another power. And in total secrecy (or so he thought). And that was with Morgan, his son, being groomed by Hanse as his heir anyway. It was all a long shot.
Victor's popularity OTOH is so rock solid that he can openly and publicly take a principled stand on the matter and be supported by it. Embracing Kitsune as family, not a threat. Albeit with him legally excluded from the Succession...
Anyway. Lets see where we go :)