BattleTech - The Board Game of Armored Combat

BattleTech Game Universe => The Inner Sphere => Topic started by: Dayton3 on 19 March 2018, 16:22:17

Title: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Dayton3 on 19 March 2018, 16:22:17
As far as we know in the 159 years of the 3rd Succession War the only use of nuclear weapons by anyone was the use on Skye of a small one kiloton nuclear device to breach a dam and flood the Combine forces that had broken the LC lines.

Is this remotely realistic?    Apparently nuclear weapons were fairly widespread as they were used in massive numbers in the first and second succession wars,   we know the Skye defenders were extremely desperate during the invasion.    But how reasonable is it that in fully a century and a half of war that on other planets there were not times that other forces either attacking or defending were desperate enough to use nuclear weapons.   Especially in areas where collateral damage was likely to be minimal.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Maingunnery on 19 March 2018, 16:55:33

Nuclear weapons have gotten a really bad reputation because of the earlier succession wars.
It became a bit of a gentleman's agreement to not escalate conflict that far.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Recklessfireball1 on 19 March 2018, 17:00:54
It's not remotely realistic.  Nothing in BattleTech is, though.  Despite this (perhaps even because of it), the game is still a ton of fun.  ;-)
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Dayton3 on 19 March 2018, 17:03:59
Nuclear weapons have gotten a really bad reputation because of the earlier succession wars.
It became a bit of a gentleman's agreement to not escalate conflict that far.

I believe that "gentlemen's agreements" would only go so far when your regiment(s) is being killed to the last man and your homeworld is falling to invaders.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Maingunnery on 19 March 2018, 17:08:40
I believe that "gentlemen's agreements" would only go so far when your regiment(s) is being killed to the last man and your homeworld is falling to invaders.
It is that with the hope of liberating the world later, or just having a lifeless nuclear wasteland.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Tai Dai Cultist on 19 March 2018, 17:56:01
I believe that "gentlemen's agreements" would only go so far when your regiment(s) is being killed to the last man and your homeworld is falling to invaders.

You might be surprised.  A huge part of the 3rd SW  setting is that you're absolutely willing to withdraw from a world and let the enemy have it if you so much as look like you might take serious casualties in a stand up fight.  Maneuver is more important than the actual fighting.  And control of a world was seen primarily on the 4th dimension:  you now control the planet, but only until I come back and re-take it.

And even when it comes to getting your butt whooped in actual fighting you just wave the white flag and congratulate the enemy on a well fought battle and discuss ransom terms to cede the world and discuss the price of being allowed to withdraw offworld.  What we now call Hegira was a thing in the Inner Sphere long before the Clans ever invaded.  Now if the enemy gets all unreasonable about the ransom of letting you withdraw, YEAH then you have nothing to lose and you go down to the gritty, dirty end, potentially to the extreme of lobbing nukes if you got 'em.  That's WHY if you're on the winning side you don't get unreasonable with your ransom terms and allow the defeated to withdraw ;)
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Dayton3 on 19 March 2018, 18:08:06
It is that with the hope of liberating the world later, or just having a lifeless nuclear wasteland.

You know that the idea of a planet being left a "lifeless nuclear wasteland"  even after the detonation of thousands of warheads (like on Earth during the height of the Cold War) was always a myth?

I seem to remember an analysis that in the event of an all out nuclear war involving the U.S. and Soviet Union that there would be literally tens of thousands of cities and towns with populations of under 100,000 basically untouched around the world. 

And entire countries untouched for that matter.    And no,   don't bring up "nuclear winter" as it is a myth.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Kitsune413 on 19 March 2018, 18:19:19
In the Battletech setting there are a lot of dead worlds. Planets that used to be populated or colonized that were dead.

They've also forgotten how alot of technologies work.

and most of all, if they use nuclear weapons, someone else will use nuclear weapons against them.

So it's not unrealistic to think that the agreement not to use nukes would be paid attention to while they get robed acolytes to praise Blake and maintain their terraforming equipment they no longer understand so they don't all die.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Maingunnery on 19 March 2018, 18:26:33
You know that the idea of a planet being left a "lifeless nuclear wasteland"  even after the detonation of thousands of warheads (like on Earth during the height of the Cold War) was always a myth?

I seem to remember an analysis that in the event of an all out nuclear war involving the U.S. and Soviet Union that there would be literally tens of thousands of cities and towns with populations of under 100,000 basically untouched around the world. 

And entire countries untouched for that matter.    And no,   don't bring up "nuclear winter" as it is a myth.
A lot of worlds are a lot more marginal to human life, and have far lower number of cities.


Preventing nuclear escalation is also why NBC weapons are normally stored in secure bunkers. Which are under the supervision of the interstellar state, and not given to planetary commands.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Daryk on 19 March 2018, 19:17:20
Nuclear winter is a bit less of a myth when the numbers of nuclear weapons are turned up by an order of magnitude or two...
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Sartris on 19 March 2018, 20:16:37
there was that one time the Lyrans used a nuke to blow up a damn when the Kuritans invaded Skye in 2895 detailed in the Sea Skimmer's writeup
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Dayton3 on 19 March 2018, 20:58:55
there was that one time the Lyrans used a nuke to blow up a damn when the Kuritans invaded Skye in 2895 detailed in the Sea Skimmer's writeup

I referred to that in the OP.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: RunandFindOut on 19 March 2018, 20:59:55
Nuclear winter is a bit less of a myth when the numbers of nuclear weapons are turned up by an order of magnitude or two...
It's not actually.  There's now proof of that as well.  After new data showed that the assumptions being used in the original work simply didn't pan out or match with known effects on the climate of events ejecting much more material, it was discredited.  And it has now been admitted that the original work was a deliberate attempt to use their 'nuclear winter' conclusion to discourage use of nuclear weapons via highly creative and unsupported conclusions about their effects.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Jaim Magnus on 19 March 2018, 21:13:46
As far as we know in the 159 years of the 3rd Succession War the only use of nuclear weapons by anyone was the use on Skye of a small one kiloton nuclear device to breach and dam and blood the Combine forces that had broken the LC lines.

Is this remotely realistic?    Apparently nuclear weapons were fairly widespread as they were used in massive numbers in the first and second succession wars,   we know the Skye defenders were extremely desperate during the invasion.    But how reasonable is it that in fully a century and a half of war that on other planets there were not times that other forces either attacking or defending were desperate enough to use nuclear weapons.   Especially in areas where collateral damage was likely to be minimal.

Seems realistic to me. First, look how often nukes have been used IRL, despite how 'effective' they are.

Second, the first two succession wars resulted in the destruction of multiple worlds and factories. With fewer factories and resources, the goal became raiding supplies from those few remaining complexes to continue the fight.

Third, I imagine most of the Houses stockpiles had been depleted. Nukes became rare and valuable as well, and would not be committed to field commanders on raids. They'd be saved for the final push against the enemy, a final push that never materialized.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Sartris on 19 March 2018, 21:39:34
I referred to that in the OP.

i'll see myself out
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: glitterboy2098 on 19 March 2018, 21:46:59
Seems realistic to me. First, look how often nukes have been used IRL, despite how 'effective' they are.

Second, the first two succession wars resulted in the destruction of multiple worlds and factories. With fewer factories and resources, the goal became raiding supplies from those few remaining complexes to continue the fight.

Third, I imagine most of the Houses stockpiles had been depleted. Nukes became rare and valuable as well, and would not be committed to field commanders on raids. They'd be saved for the final push against the enemy, a final push that never materialized.

also consider that on most worlds, the things worth fighting over (factories, water treatment plants, stockpiles, etc) either are located inside the cities or are nearby cities. nukes are the ultimate makers of collateral damage. destroying everything of worth in the process of conquering the planet is counter productive.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: truetanker on 19 March 2018, 21:51:03
Tactical Nukes are around, Strategic ones are a no-no, Ares Convention and all.

City destroying no, Planetbuster, no but HEX Destroyers? Yes.

The above Sea Skimmer attack is one such attack... a single HEX was destroyed causing the Dam to break. Planting micro-nukes to detonate within a hex to cause destruction is allowed, BUT anything over .25 tons is illegal, nuclear fallout would kill more than three hexes of physical damage.

Simple rules allow the Davy Crockett-I to be used by Infantry, might kill them but ....  :thumbsup:

All the Houses have a stockpile for " extreme circumstances ", if you will.

TT
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Xotl on 20 March 2018, 02:41:01
Literally billions had died in the first two wars, thanks exactly to those sort of weapons; it's not at all surprising that they didn't use them in the next war.  Because of the porousness of borders on a Sphere-wide scale, there's no way you'd be able to guarantee air superiority everywhere.  They'd just gone through decades of war that proved that point, over and over.  Even in a universe without warships, your planets would start eating nukes again.

I see it as very similar to the staunch refusal of both sides to use chemical warfare in the Second World War, despite/because of its liberal use in the First.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Iron Grenadier on 20 March 2018, 06:55:40
You know that the idea of a planet being left a "lifeless nuclear wasteland"  even after the detonation of thousands of warheads (like on Earth during the height of the Cold War) was always a myth?

I seem to remember an analysis that in the event of an all out nuclear war involving the U.S. and Soviet Union that there would be literally tens of thousands of cities and towns with populations of under 100,000 basically untouched around the world. 

And entire countries untouched for that matter.    And no,   don't bring up "nuclear winter" as it is a myth.


Do you happen to have a link to that analysis? Also something for the nuclear winter myth?
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Kitsune413 on 20 March 2018, 11:21:28

Do you happen to have a link to that analysis? Also something for the nuclear winter myth?

Yeah. I feel like whenever someone makes a claim like that a citation is necessary.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Kitsune413 on 20 March 2018, 11:27:55
Yeah. Looking into it a bit on google and the only other models I see say maybe it would be a "Nuclear Autumn." But I don't see anything at all that's a hard scientific study that disproves the models.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Tai Dai Cultist on 20 March 2018, 11:34:29
I'm not sure I'll be able to find it again this far after the fact, but about 15 years ago I read a paper that argued that argued in the short term at least nuclear war would cause even more casualties than forecasts predicted- from the behavior of firestorms.  Yeah, it's not a rebuttal to whether or not there'd be a nuclear winter but I did find it fascinating in how it explained just how unsurvivable it'd be to have virtually everything in a city be exposed to insta-burn levels of thermal energy.  Even if people were somehow protected from blast and energy, the resulting firestorm would kill them.  Probably via sustained heat, and if not by asphyxiating them as it consumes the oxygen.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Mendrugo on 20 March 2018, 11:39:35
Two of the Kell Hound scenarios in their scenario pack involve a Lyran raid on a FWL storehouse on Castor containing "illegal nuclear weapons" in 3011.  There's no context given as to what makes them "illegal" in a post-Ares Conventions universe, or why the LCAF took it upon themselves to take out this storehouse of WMDs at this particular time (the FWL doesn't seem to have been in the process of readying them for use), nor what class the warheads were. 

3011-06-07: Lowering the Boom (Scenario - The Kell Hounds - Jim Brunk, Dale L. Kemper & Michael Lee) - Castor (FWL) (http://bg.battletech.com/forums/index.php/topic,27831.msg750764.html#msg750764)

3011-06-07: Delta Romeo (Scenario - The Kell Hounds - Jim Brunk, Dale L. Kemper & Michael Lee) - Castor (FWL) (http://bg.battletech.com/forums/index.php/topic,27831.msg751381.html#msg751381)
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Luciora on 20 March 2018, 11:43:14
Probably in the sense that, If I don't own them, they are illegal.

Two of the Kell Hound scenarios in their scenario pack involve a Lyran raid on a FWL storehouse on Castor containing "illegal nuclear weapons" in 3011.  There's no context given as to what makes them "illegal" in a post-Ares Conventions universe, or why the LCAF took it upon themselves to take out this storehouse of WMDs at this particular time (the FWL doesn't seem to have been in the process of readying them for use), nor what class the warheads were. 

3011-06-07: Lowering the Boom (Scenario - The Kell Hounds - Jim Brunk, Dale L. Kemper & Michael Lee) - Castor (FWL) (http://bg.battletech.com/forums/index.php/topic,27831.msg750764.html#msg750764)

3011-06-07: Delta Romeo (Scenario - The Kell Hounds - Jim Brunk, Dale L. Kemper & Michael Lee) - Castor (FWL) (http://bg.battletech.com/forums/index.php/topic,27831.msg751381.html#msg751381)
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Kidd on 20 March 2018, 11:50:35
I see it as very similar to the staunch refusal of both sides to use chemical warfare in the Second World War, despite/because of its liberal use in the First.
Nice one.

There are also conventions IRL against cluster bombs and victim-triggered antipersonnel landmines, even if in our case not everyone has ratified the treaty. Also flamethrowers are generally avoided.

The former 2 are similar to nukes in that they render areas uninhabitable and are difficult to clean up. If you're fighting a war to gain usable territory, as in Battletech, you don't want to use those kind of weapons.... it increases the cost in time, effort and money of restoring the place.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Natasha Kerensky on 20 March 2018, 12:38:14
I seem to remember an analysis that in the event of an all out nuclear war involving the U.S. and Soviet Union that there would be literally tens of thousands of cities and towns with populations of under 100,000 basically untouched around the world.

Sure, but you've wrecked the economies in the Allied and Warsaw Pact countries (and the world economy as a result), as most GDP is created in and around major urban centers.  You've also wrecked their national and regional governments, industrial centers, major transportation and communication nodes, medical centers, and knowledge centers, all of which are located in or near major urban centers.

You've probably also wiped out the bulk of their energy supply, as petroleum production and storage was the other major Cold War target for strategic nukes besides urban centers and governments.

And radiological elements will spread far from blast radii, inducing life-shortening illnesses and cancers and reproductive problems for decades or longer.

You're certainly not wiping out the population or turning the land into a moonscape.  But until recovery takes hold, you're basically setting the standard of living for the surviving population back to the 1700-1800s, highly localizing their organization, and adding radiation damage to their health to boot.

Quote
And no,   don't bring up "nuclear winter" as it is a myth.

It's not a myth.  It's an outcome of certain atmospheric models.  And like any model, the outcomes depend on the assumptions going in.

If your assumptions are that nuked cities would create firestorms like Hiroshima, that the soot from those firestorms would rise high into the atmosphere, and that rains would not quickly wash the soot out of the atmosphere, then your assumptions will create a long nuclear winter outcome in the model.  Studies in the past ten years using modern climate models and these kinds of assumptions verify the hypothesis of nuclear winter in their models.

If your assumptions are that modern cities will not create firestorms like Hiroshima, that soot will not rise too high in the atmosphere, and/or that rains would quickly wash the soot out of the atmosphere, then your assumptions will create a short or no nuclear winter outcome in the model.  Critics have pointed out these issues in the past decade but AFAIK have not run models showing a short or no nuclear winter using their preferred assumptions.

Regardless, there's no way to completely verify these assumptions and models without running the experiment.  And that is an experiment you do not want to run. 

Is this remotely realistic?    Apparently nuclear weapons were fairly widespread as they were used in massive numbers in the first and second succession wars,   we know the Skye defenders were extremely desperate during the invasion.    But how reasonable is it that in fully a century and a half of war that on other planets there were not times that other forces either attacking or defending were desperate enough to use nuclear weapons.   Especially in areas where collateral damage was likely to be minimal.

There's a big difference between limited tactical use of nukes in military engagements and an unlimited, widespread, mutual exchange of strategic arsenals.  The worry during the Cold War was that the former would lead to the latter.

With few exceptions (the Regulans at the end of Jihad, mainly), the BT universe seems to focus on the former.  Even the hundreds or thousands of nukes employed during early Succession Wars were spread across hundreds or thousands of planets.  Worlds or even continents weren't cleansed in nuclear fire, as was the Cold War fear.  Rather a shipyard here or a water processor there were nuked.  This still lead to massive loss of economic/industrial/technological/military capability and the loss of many planets when their terraforming equipment or economic reason for being were destroyed.  But the Houses have never feared mutually assured nuclear destruction -- they're just too damn big.

Given this, there may have been some dwindling tactical nuclear use in the early 3rd Succession War that simply didn't get noted in the top-level, in-universe histories that we have access to.  I think there's certainly room for some more incidents like the dam on Skye in one's own campaign.

But the trend in political and military thinking in the Houses was clearly towards preservation of their remaining industrial and military base.  That ultimately meant no WMDs and more limited military engagements.

Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Dayton3 on 20 March 2018, 14:04:34
Weren't there a couple of nuclear weapons (Honest Johns) fired off during one of the earliest battles involving the Knights of the Inner Sphere?   It was mentioned in a novel IIRC.

And note I've never thought there was any kind of widespread (city busting) type of nuclear weapons usage during the 3rd Succession War.    I just found it difficult to believe that even small tactical nuclear weapons were never apparently used as during the Combine invasion of Skye when the damn was breached with the 1 kiloton nuclear demolition charge.

Also one would think that the Lyrans violating the unofficial "rules of war" would at least prompt the DCMS to "retaliate in kind" by using a similar size nuclear device on a strictly military target on Skye.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Tai Dai Cultist on 20 March 2018, 14:30:33
Nukes don't fit in well with the medieval warfare paradigm.  And that's what the Succession Wars was... but with giant robots ;)
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Mendrugo on 20 March 2018, 14:31:01
Weren't there a couple of nuclear weapons (Honest Johns) fired off during one of the earliest battles involving the Knights of the Inner Sphere?   It was mentioned in a novel IIRC.

Ideal War.  They were "Davy Crocketts," the smallest caliber of SLDF-created nuclear warhead, intended to be launched by infantry or from a light vehicle, with tactical applications on a battlefield (rather than - boom, everyone dies).  The next step up is the "Alamo," (fighter carried) and then the "Santa Ana." (capital missile or cruise missile warhead).  However, that was post-Third Succession War, and involved Regulan radicals fighting the Word of Blake, neither of which had any serious hesitation to use WMDs.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Dayton3 on 20 March 2018, 15:22:05
I'm not sure I'll be able to find it again this far after the fact, but about 15 years ago I read a paper that argued that argued in the short term at least nuclear war would cause even more casualties than forecasts predicted- from the behavior of firestorms.  Yeah, it's not a rebuttal to whether or not there'd be a nuclear winter but I did find it fascinating in how it explained just how unsurvivable it'd be to have virtually everything in a city be exposed to insta-burn levels of thermal energy.  Even if people were somehow protected from blast and energy, the resulting firestorm would kill them.  Probably via sustained heat, and if not by asphyxiating them as it consumes the oxygen.


You do know that a firestorm wouldn't always form after a nuclear detonation due to various factors (including hilly terrain).

Nagasaki did not suffer from a firestorm.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Tai Dai Cultist on 20 March 2018, 15:31:38


You do know that a firestorm wouldn't always form after a nuclear detonation due to various factors (including hilly terrain).

Nagasaki did not suffer from a firestorm.

Nagasaki didn't see a megaton warhead deliver an airburst, either.   Hilly terrain isn't going to do much to mitigate a blast from a mile up.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: JadeHellbringer on 20 March 2018, 15:39:28
Looks like it's time for a reminder to keep the discussion focused on fictional nuclear warfare.

Knock it off, please.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Dayton3 on 20 March 2018, 16:40:57
Well given 1,000 years of advancing technology,  they have had compact fusion reactors in the Battletech universe for centuries for crying out loud,  shouldn't they have developed extremely "clean" nuclear warheads by then?     Such as fusion warheads that are triggered by advanced chemical explosives or by laser triggers.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Tai Dai Cultist on 20 March 2018, 17:03:21
With regards to nukes in the late SW:

The armies of the Great Houses surely have the technology for over-the-horizon artillery, too.  The reason we never did see rules for it is static trench style warfare isn't the BattleTech milieu.  Of course the important cities of the important planets have incredibly tough static defenses like minefields and artillery- that's the analogue of the castle.  We even see them occasionally discussed.  Especially in the 4th SW NAIS Atlases.

But a game of CBT/Boardgame BattleTech isn't about representing a siege.  The only way you'd do siege warfare in CBT/BattleTech is by doing a game where the scenario is representing a sally, and the outcome of the off-screen siege hinges on that scenario outcome.

Nukes are similar- there's no only little in-universe reason to use them balanced against a lot of reasons to NOT use them... they're just not appropriate for game balance in the kinds of skirmishes CBT/Boardgame BattleTech represents.  It was always a terrible move to name the compliled rulebook "Total Warfare" as that's exactly what warfare in the BTU isn't.   

(the Jihad notwithstanding.  The only possible reason to forgive CGL for the unfortunate name of the rulebook is that the rulebook is perhaps intended to be the Jihad era rulebook, but that's very awkward for the rest of the game.)
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Orin J. on 20 March 2018, 17:48:28
i think all this talk about how effective nukes would be is missing the meat of the issue- if you nuke something, you can't take control of it, ot recapture it later. by the third SW, there was a lot of technology they simply couldn't replace (until the helm incident, at least) and they reached a point where it was too valuable to risk breaking them, even if it mean you lost them.

even in the modern era there's still plenty of "vacant lot" worlds in most of the successor states, and if you try to take a planet it's generally not simply because it happens to have some nice suburbs to colonize. there's valuable resources, and if you bomb them into dust, you can't get them back no matter what. back during the 3rd SW, those valuable resources were literally irreplaceable. i'd hardly call avoiding a weapon that might render the very reason you would want to hold a world moot a gentleman's agreement when doing so might deny the entire galaxy ever getting certain technology again. nobody wants to be the jerk that destroyed the last working 'mech gyro factory because they didn't want to lose it. or the last cheese ball factory, but i don't think that technology was in danger of being lost.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: glitterboy2098 on 20 March 2018, 18:02:44
since i can't post the full quote here (it is way too long), i'd direct you to the reasoning presented in Robert Heinlein's Starship Troopers Novel
https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/159952-if-we-can-use-an-h-bomb--and-as-you-said-it-s

i think the successor states knew that lesson perfectly well by the 3rd and 4th succession war.. they'd seen what happens when the use of force is unrestricted and uncontrolled, and even without official treaties or agreements had decided to ensure that wars would be fought with the appropriate use of force in the future, with an eye to minimizing collateral damage as much as is possible. they couldn't afford to lose too much more after all. which was probably why the 3rd succession war was so tame over all.. no one wanted to risk escalating it to a world scorcher again. the 4th war was nasty enough, but the mindset of avoiding escalation to a WMD level was probably still there.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Daryk on 20 March 2018, 20:00:59
TDC, I think CGL dodged the bullet you mention, as the phrase you're referring to is "Total War", not "Total Warfare".

Dayton3, I was serious when I said "order of magnitude or two"... that makes a difference in even the models you cite.  Natasha has it right about models in general.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: JadedFalcon on 21 March 2018, 00:04:18
For the Battletech universe physics, the Regulan campaigns in the late Jihad obliterated worlds from the maps. And the Age of War Digest talks about colonized worlds typically not being as robust as Earth itself, with more fragile biomes that won't bounce back as readily. Hence the effects of nuclear winter is especially amplified on terra-formed worlds.

And it was the 80s. The change in warfare fits with one side shaking their fist at the end of a campaign and declaring "next time, Gadget!"  :P
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Mendrugo on 21 March 2018, 03:23:13
The NAIS Atlas section on the fortress cities of Tikonov notes the existence of “city buster” bombs, but says the Federated Suns wanted to take the infrastructure intact, as much as possible, and so refrained from reducing Tikograd and other strongpoints to glowing craters.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: AJC46 on 21 March 2018, 15:29:31
Well given 1,000 years of advancing technology,  they have had compact fusion reactors in the Battletech universe for centuries for crying out loud,  shouldn't they have developed extremely "clean" nuclear warheads by then?     Such as fusion warheads that are triggered by advanced chemical explosives or by laser triggers.

there would still be the effects of neutron activation which can make normally nonradioactive material radioactive.

one proposal was so called "salted" bombs which had a tamper the best of these proposed salted weapons would have used a cobalt isotope that when neutron activated would have had a half life both short enough to generate "useful" amounts of penetrating radiation like gamma and beta radiation (your skin will stop alpha radiation with very little chance for ill effect unless a bunch of its on you for a significant amount of time  sorta like how long term sun exposure  can increase your skin cancer chance now if a alpha particle emitter gets inside your body that is a different story. ) but long enough that it couldn't be quickly waited out before it decayed to the point the radiation wasn't much worse than normal background were even after 3-5 half life cycles there would still be quite enough to emit a dangerous amount of it still
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Pat Payne on 21 March 2018, 15:35:11
I think the nail was hit on the head already by Tai Dai on why, at least out of universe, that we don't see more deployment and use of nukes in the BTU -- it just isn't fun. There was an old wargame about a hypothetical NATO-Warsaw Pact war that had succinct rules for the use of nuclear weapons: "Douse your maps in gas and light 'em on fire." 

The fiery nuclear incineration of (INSERT PLANET HERE) and all that comes after isn't usually a fun gaming experience (OK, Twilight 2000 pulled it off, but still...).

In universe? One thing that nobody's mention IIRC is Mutually Assured Destruction. If you have nukes, and your foe has an equal amount, enough to make any strike you might launch still end as a bad day for you, you'd be liable to think twice about pushing the button (which is the going theory why we did not end up ashes sometime between 1949 and 1989). Once the first generations that fought SW1 and SW2 had died off, cooler heads prevailed, realizing that there probably wasn't a lot to keep a determined, single-minded attacker from sending a Zerg Swarm of dropships with nukes to Luthien or New Avalon or wherever if a nuke strike had been launched. And it would only take one in the vicinity of the capital to wreck that Successor Lord's day.   
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Kidd on 21 March 2018, 16:00:44
@TDC - It's also called Total Warfare because it united Mech, vehicle, ASF and infantry rulesets in a single coherent whole. Totalled up the previous disparate rules, if you will. And I do find it fitting as the fictional backdrop at the time was indeed the Jihad era, and that is exactly what is depicted on the front cover.

I think wars are fought for much the same reasons as individual motivations, and the most basic of all is existence. It would normally take an existential crisis for a State to deploy WMDs, and in Battletech a couple dozen worlds chipped off here and there out of a 500-system interstellar empire don't count as reasons to "go nucular". That's just resources, and a little loss of pride.

The Jihad on the other hand truly did seem existential from the start - the Blakists began by attempting decapitation strikes on the capitals, and damn well nearly succeeded. That's not something that would go down well with scions of centuries-old interstellar dynasties.
one proposal was so called "salted" bombs which had a tamper the best of these proposed salted weapons would have used a cobalt isotope
They feature in the Jihad, used by both WOB and the Regulans... anybody else?
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Tai Dai Cultist on 21 March 2018, 16:13:33
@TDC - It's also called Total Warfare because it united Mech, vehicle, ASF and infantry rulesets in a single coherent whole. Totalled up the previous disparate rules, if you will. And I do find it fitting as the fictional backdrop at the time was indeed the Jihad era, and that is exactly what is depicted on the front cover.

You're not wrong.  And I absolutely got why they went with the name.. it's just giving the wrong kinds of impressions about what BattleTech is outside the Jihad era.  IMO.  Really getting into a tangent now on this I suppose.  But honestly a much better name was "Rules of Warfare".  I get that they can't or didn't want to re-use that specific name, nor the bleedingly vanilla name "Compendium".  It's just Total Warfare as a name is not at all "BattleTechy" for non-Jihad (and non Early SW) play.  Again IMO.   A name that fit better with an idea of futuristic neo-chivalric knights in giant robots duking it out in ritualized combat would have been much better, and I daresay even have helped convey a sense of the game (mostly) being about a setting where Nukes don't play a meaningful role.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Dayton3 on 21 March 2018, 16:19:34
Something that hasn't been mentioned but is probably worth noting:

When the Battletech Universe begins where we first start it in "real time" its around 3025.

It has occurred to me that in the 3025 time frame aside from Maximillian Liao,   none of the other main Inner Sphere Leaders,   Janos Marik,  Katrina Steiner,  Takashi Kurita, and Hanse Davion had what could really be called a "mass murdering homicidal mindset".    And neither did any of the second generation of leaders (probably Katherine Steiner-Davion was closest) or arguably even the third generation (and by the time the third generation came around, even the Liao's (Sun Tzu) was beginning to become reasonable.

So at least among the Inner Sphere leaders,   we had about three consecutive generations when Battletech coincided with our real time in which no one hardly in leadership positions were really interested in large scale genocidal scale military action.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Baldur Mekorig on 21 March 2018, 21:58:07
IIRC, there are mention of use of "salted" nueclear weapons. Thats a big no no. I imagine that the memory of that weapons use will contain the homicidal urges of the inner spehere commanders.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Drewbacca on 22 March 2018, 02:58:51
This is pretty much it. How many worlds were lost in the first two wars?

Once the cost of going nuclear is known no one in thier right mind would do it. Hmmm... that sounds familiar...


You might be surprised.  A huge part of the 3rd SW  setting is that you're absolutely willing to withdraw from a world and let the enemy have it if you so much as look like you might take serious casualties in a stand up fight.  Maneuver is more important than the actual fighting.  And control of a world was seen primarily on the 4th dimension:  you now control the planet, but only until I come back and re-take it.

And even when it comes to getting your butt whooped in actual fighting you just wave the white flag and congratulate the enemy on a well fought battle and discuss ransom terms to cede the world and discuss the price of being allowed to withdraw offworld.  What we now call Hegira was a thing in the Inner Sphere long before the Clans ever invaded.  Now if the enemy gets all unreasonable about the ransom of letting you withdraw, YEAH then you have nothing to lose and you go down to the gritty, dirty end, potentially to the extreme of lobbing nukes if you got 'em.  That's WHY if you're on the winning side you don't get unreasonable with your ransom terms and allow the defeated to withdraw ;)
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Korzon77 on 23 March 2018, 14:42:47
The main reason?  Nobody likes to play a game where the only units that matter are those fast hovers zipping around spam nuking everything. Btech is not OGRE where the main units can tank multiple mininukes.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Decoy on 23 March 2018, 14:49:52
*looks over at the Hadur*

Well, maybe the Mongols....but that's a bit beyond the 3rd Succession War.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Mendrugo on 23 March 2018, 14:52:18
The main reason?  Nobody likes to play a game where the only units that matter are those fast hovers zipping around spam nuking everything. Btech is not OGRE where the main units can tank multiple mininukes.

The BattleTech space combat system (do we still call it AeroTech?), on the other hand, has fighters carrying Alamos and units like the Leviathan, capable of soaking up multiple mininuke strikes.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Korzon77 on 23 March 2018, 15:45:15
This is pretty much it. How many worlds were lost in the first two wars?

Once the cost of going nuclear is known no one in thier right mind would do it. Hmmm... that sounds familiar...

And it didn't achieve victory.  Had any power been able to point out to "our using nukes won the war" then they would probably be more popular, but they did little to prevent the eventual stalemate--and a lot to make that stalemate as costly as it was.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Mendrugo on 23 March 2018, 15:58:46
Honestly, had the Combine used more nukes, they would probably have ended the 1st Succession War in a better place.  They glassed Helm and nobody said "boo."  It was the personal-level brutality of the Kentares Massacre that made it stand out, crippling DCMS morale while fueling the AFFS with a passion for revenge, and thereby turning the tide.  If the Combine had Ghost Protocoled Kentares, they'd have been able to fully consolidate the Draconis March, if not more.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Dayton3 on 23 March 2018, 16:55:56
Honestly, had the Combine used more nukes, they would probably have ended the 1st Succession War in a better place.  They glassed Helm and nobody said "boo."  It was the personal-level brutality of the Kentares Massacre that made it stand out, crippling DCMS morale while fueling the AFFS with a passion for revenge, and thereby turning the tide.  If the Combine had Ghost Protocoled Kentares, they'd have been able to fully consolidate the Draconis March, if not more.

IIRC,  the Combine concentration on Kentares also drained lots of resources they were massing for the coming move on New Avalon (which ultimately never happened).     Not to mention the staggering blow to the morale of the DCMS for their part in carrying out the atrocity.

Not to mention the Eridani Light Horse leaving the Combine (bloodily after the Combine tried to make them stay) because of the Kentares massacre,   Comstar's apparently hostile reaction to the massacre and the other successor states reactions besides the Federated Suns.
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: epic on 23 March 2018, 17:20:01
Hmmm... actually, I swear there was a mention in one of the early novels where there was talk about DCMS (3025) doctrine including firing tac nukes as EMP airbursts before landing, to disrupt enemy communications.

Looking for citation now...
Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Nastyogre on 25 March 2018, 14:29:25
Seems realistic to me. First, look how often nukes have been used IRL, despite how 'effective' they are.

Second, the first two succession wars resulted in the destruction of multiple worlds and factories. With fewer factories and resources, the goal became raiding supplies from those few remaining complexes to continue the fight.

Third, I imagine most of the Houses stockpiles had been depleted. Nukes became rare and valuable as well, and would not be committed to field commanders on raids. They'd be saved for the final push against the enemy, a final push that never materialized.


THe big problem with nukes is that they end up being used on the stuff you want. The people, production and facilities. Sure you could use smaller ones on formations but your formations get hit with them right back and then military units seek shelter near the stuff you want. Then its nuke 'em and you get the planet, but not the factories and the people (which are the two things you want)

Nuclear winter may or may not be a complete myth. The large amount of radioactive fallout will kill or contaminate a much bigger swathe than the blasts of course. That also doesn't make up for the mass famines as power and transportation networks are destroyed. The nukes don't kill off everybody or even most of everybody. They do wreck society and THAT does kill most people.


Title: Re: Complete Absence of Nuclear Weapons in 3rd Succession War-extremely unrealistic?
Post by: Charistoph on 02 April 2018, 12:53:56
THe big problem with nukes is that they end up being used on the stuff you want. The people, production and facilities. Sure you could use smaller ones on formations but your formations get hit with them right back and then military units seek shelter near the stuff you want. Then its nuke 'em and you get the planet, but not the factories and the people (which are the two things you want)

Well, nukes are extermination and punishment weapons.  They can be used if you can catch an offensive target away from an objective.  That's only likely if you caught them out in the field on maneuvers or transitioning between locations.  There is little difference in using a nuke or orbital bombardment at that point, though. 

Much like the Romans on Carthage, dirty nukes are only useful if you're not going to keep it and just want to leave nothing useful for your enemy behind.

Nuclear winter may or may not be a complete myth. The large amount of radioactive fallout will kill or contaminate a much bigger swathe than the blasts of course. That also doesn't make up for the mass famines as power and transportation networks are destroyed. The nukes don't kill off everybody or even most of everybody. They do wreck society and THAT does kill most people.

A lot depends on the scale of the nuke.  City-busters like what was used on Hiroshima, sure.  "Tactical" nukes like the Davy Crockett don't wreck society in themselves, but only by wide-spread use.  But the same could be said if indiscriminate use of mustard gas, too.