(technically, the poll is supposed to run for a couple more days, but nobody's voted in a while, and I don't know when I'll be allowed to post again, so...)
Looks like the overall results narrowly favor it being too close to call, followed by the wolves.
Personally, I think the wolves would win this scenario most of the time, because despite the mystique of nuclear weapons, in most engagements you wouldn't expect the alamo missiles to actually score that silver bullet kill (the odds are one in six that any hit is a shipkilling penetrating hit).
But then again, maybe it's closer than that? Even if the missile doesn't penetrate and "only" does small naval autocannon damage, it's also slapping a hefty (+2) penalty on all of the target's shooting for the rest of the fight. Maybe that's enough for the Essex to outrun the Congress's durability advantage?
Anyway, thanks to all who participated in the voting. My curiosity has been sated.